"Are Marriage Statistics Divorced from Reality?" in TIME Magazine questions the 50% divorce rate projection, a perennial topic and an enduring belief in our culture. (For those of you just now tuning in, it's only a prediction and projection for people marrying at certain times, and versions of it range as low as 40 to 45%.) It also describes what Tara Parker-Pope has to say on it in her recent book, For Better:
"She contends that the 50% stat is a myth that persists because it's something of a political Swiss Army knife, handy for any number of agendas. ... all the talk about grim marriage stats becomes a self-fulfilling prophecy. 'It makes us ambivalent and more vulnerable to giving up when problems occur'."
The article also reminds us that the 50% is not an accurate prediction for any particular person -- for educated people the chances of divorce are much lower: