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February 2022

Ukraine won’t win without direct help, despite stirring anecdotes

The Russians have been pausing and recalibrating over the weekend and have screwed up a couple of their efforts while the Ukrainians surge with adrenaline and glory, but the math and geography still make it a losing battle. Invaders from the South probably aim to cut off the defenders of the Eastern front. And the Russians could invade Western Ukraine from Belarus to cut off aid from Europe.
UKRAINE CONFLICT UPDATE 10 — Institute for the study of war

See also:

What kind of resistance can Ukraine mount?